After the Russian Moscow Exchange opened on June 26, the ruble exchange rate fell, and then quickly recovered, and the decline in the market narrowed.The exchange rates of rubles to the US dollar and the euro fell by about 3%.The exchange rate of the ruble to the US dollar was 1 to 87.23. This is the first time that the exchange rate of the ruble to the US dollar has exceeded 1 to 87 since March 29, 2022. At the same time, the exchange rate to the euro to the euro was 1-95.28. This is April 25 this year 25 this year.Since the day, rubles have exceeded 1-95 for the first time on the euro exchange rate.
After that, the ruble quickly recovered the exchange rate of the US dollar and the euro.As of 10:30 on the 26th of Moscow, the exchange rate of the ruble to the US dollar has been adjusted to 1-85.13, and the rubles to the euro exchange rate to 1-92.81.
Russian analysts believe that the exchange rate of the rubles to the US dollar earlier this week may stabilize about $ 1 from 84 to 87 rubles.The exchange rate fluctuations are related to market mood caused by the situation in Russia.
CME "Fed Observation": The probability of the Federal Reserve's interest rate in July of 5.00%-5.25%is 24.4%, and the probability of rating 25 basis points to 5.25%-5.50%is 75.6%.The probability of 20.9%, the probability of cumulative rates of 25 basis points was 68.5%, and the probability of cumulative interest rate hikes was 10.6%.
New York senior market analyst said: "We see the situation quickly upgraded and also rapidly downgraded, which shows that this is a serious threat that allows Putin to agree to reach the transaction conditions with Pritigon.It seems that the focus may be transferred back to our global growth slowly. "
A survey announced on Monday showed that the second consecutive month of corporate confidence in Germany deteriorated in June, which showed that the largest European economy encountered difficulties in getting rid of recession.
On June 26, the European Central Bank Annual Economic Forum opened in Singitra, Portugal. IMF issued a strong signal on the progress of inflation at the forum, requiring the central banks of the EU countries to actively take measures to cope with high inflation, even if it may affect economic development.
